Azeez Ibrahim Olateju
In various forums, I have consistently underscored the inadequacies of many political contemporaries of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu. These individuals have frequently failed to establish a well-defined platform or intellectual foundation that would enable them to effectively compete with a seasoned strategist like Tinubu.
It is essential to recognize that Asiwaju Bola Tinubu is not merely a participant in the political arena; he is a formidable power broker who possesses a visionary outlook that extends well beyond the horizons of his peers. Tinubu has an uncanny ability to anticipate the political landscape of Nigeria in the decades to come, wielding what some might describe as a “magic wand” of political influence.
His deep comprehension of the political dynamics within the Senate, as well as the motivations and character traits of each faction of Nigeria’s political class, positions him advantageously. The coalitions currently being forged aim to secure political influence from Tinubu in the looming 2027 elections. However, to any astute political strategist with an intimate understanding of Nigeria’s complex political system, such ambitions seem impossibly optimistic, particularly considering the prevailing circumstances in the nation.
While some are preoccupied with discussions surrounding alliances for 2027, it is plausible that Asiwaju is, in fact, contemplating the feasibility of a potential third-term bid or strategizing on how to consolidate power while determining who might emerge as his successor. It raises the pertinent question of whether there exists a mechanism capable of challenging a man whose influence pervades all corners of Nigeria’s political spectrum—spanning from the Senate and House of Representatives to state governors and elements of the judiciary. Tinubu’s power is not a result of overt force but rather a strategic control of political alignments and relationships.
It is widely acknowledged that the 2027 elections represent a pivotal chapter in our country’s democratic journey, shaping the political landscape for years to come. The electoral success of the Muslim-Muslim ticket of Tinubu and his running mate, Kashim Shettima, who hails from a minority faction of the Hausa tribe, signifies a transformative moment in Lagos politics, particularly amid the emergence of a new political class inspired by the so-called “Obidients” movement.
In stark contrast, figures like Atiku Abubakar seem ill-prepared to wrest power away from such a skilled and calculating political strategist as Tinubu. Similarly, Nasir El-Rufai, a significant contender once formidable in his home state of Kaduna, has seen his influence wane.
Among these political figures, one individual who appears to possess a more profound understanding of the political landscape is Rabiu Kwankwaso. It is not unreasonable to suggest that a clandestine alliance may exist between Kwankwaso and the president, with various clues scattered throughout the political arena that warrant further investigation.
The political trajectory leading up to the 2027 elections is fraught with complexities, not only reflecting the challenges of governance in Nigeria but also the strategic maneuvering of those who seek to challenge Bola Ahmed Tinubu. It remains to be seen how the intricate tapestry of alliances, strategies, and political aspirations will unfold in this critical period of Nigeria’s political history..
Azeez Ibrahim Olateju
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08037186308.