Atiku Will Win 2019 Presidential Election In Nigeria – The Economist

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PDP presidential hopeful, Atiku Abubakar

February 16th presidential election is fast approaching and predication on who carries the day are making the rounds. The latest of such predication is coming from the Economist Intelligence Unit, EIU.

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The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) Africa insisted that Atiku Abubakar, the presidential candidate of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP) will carry the day.

This revelation was made public via its Twitter handle yesterday, Friday 1st February 2019 when it opened that the margin of victory is getting narrower as the election approaches, but Atiku and his political party will win the historic election.

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The tweet reads in full thus:


“#NigeriaDecides2019 : Less than 2 weeks before #Nigeria‘s presidential election. Abubakar has floated idea of corruption amnesty. It is arguably an impolitic time for such a delicate proposal,” EIU Africa tweeted.

“Abubakar is hard-pressed to convince voters that he is a clean politician, having been on the receiving end of numerous graft allegations in the past.

“We retain out forecast for #Abubakar to win, but expected margin of victory is narrowing as the poll approaches.”

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One will recall that In 2015, the magazine also predicted victory for Muhammadu Buhari over then-incumbent Goodluck Jonathan, stating that Buhari was “the least awful choice,” which would be chosen “with a heavy heart”.


The statement in 2015:

“Voters have ample cause to send Mr Jonathan packing. In a country where power has often changed through the barrel of a gun, the opposition All Progressives Congress has a real chance of winning through the ballot box.”

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The research unit of the London-based economic magazine further explained the reasons behind this prediction as largely connected to Atiku’s campaign mantra and voters apathy from the south.


“Abubakar’s pledge is to reinvigorate the economy with pro-market reforms. Both candidates are from the northern Nigeria, where Buhari’s support base lies, presaging a fierce contest there.”


“With the vote likely to be split in the North, Abubakar will find it easier to garner support from the country’s south, which has traditionally been a safe haven for the PDP.”


“This gives Abubakar an edge, as does popular frustration over the rise in joblessness and poverty (two of the biggest voter concerns) on Mr. Buhari’s watch, as well as growing insecurity in central Nigeria.” The report read.


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However, the ruling All Progressives congress in a statement by Lai Mohammed, minister for information and culture, had said The Economist’s — EIU –prediction was nothing but fake news.


“We have all read that the intelligence unit of The Economist said the PDP will defeat the ruling APC in 2019,”

“We have also read that the international financial institution HSBC said Nigeria’s economic development will be stunted if President Buhari gets a second term”

“Let me state clearly that these reports are based on fake premises and, therefore, qualify as fake news. It is a psychological warfare by those who have been badly hit by our policies.” He expressed.

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